# Brazil heads toward likely runoff as US pressure looms: Analysis

https://mins.news/en/video/85104

- Al Jazeera English, 2026-10-04 04:16 UTC
- Politics
- Original: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VJHlicQ0Mvg

> Vinicius Rodrigues Vieira, an associate professor of economics and international relations at the Armando Alvares Penteado Foundation, says Brazil’s presidential election is a very close contest between incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro, who is running on behalf of his father. Vieira considers an October 25 runoff the most likely outcome. He says Lula’s appeal to defend sovereignty against Donald Trump’s tariffs and pressure on Supreme Court justices has not resonated as strongly as expected.

## Related coverage

- [Voting begins in Brazil’s presidential election](https://mins.news/en/item/85326) — TASS, 2026-10-04
- [What to know about Brazil’s election pitting Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro](https://mins.news/en/item/85145) — BBC News, 2026-10-04
- [Brazil’s 2026 presidential election begins with Lula and Bolsonaro nearly tied](https://mins.news/en/item/84996) — DW, 2026-10-04
- [Brazil’s Lula and Bolsonaro close campaigns ahead of critical election](https://mins.news/en/item/84975) — Al Jazeera, 2026-10-04
- [Brazil’s election: Lula faces off against a new Bolsonaro](https://mins.news/en/video/84965) — Al Jazeera English, 2026-10-03
- [Brazilians head to polls Sunday for 2026 general election](https://mins.news/en/item/85057) — CGTN, 2026-10-03
- [Brazil Election Set for Tight Lula-Bolsonaro Race](https://mins.news/en/video/83199) — Bloomberg Television, 2026-10-02