PoliticsBrazil heads toward likely runoff as US pressure looms: Analysis

Vinicius Rodrigues Vieira, an associate professor of economics and international relations at the Armando Alvares Penteado Foundation, says Brazil’s presidential election is a very close contest between incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro, who is running on behalf of his father. Vieira considers an October 25 runoff the most likely outcome. He says Lula’s appeal to defend sovereignty against Donald Trump’s tariffs and pressure on Supreme Court justices has not resonated as strongly as expected.