# Why Flavio Bolsonaro outperformed the polls in Brazil’s election

https://mins.news/en/item/88673

- Al Jazeera, 2026-10-06 20:44 UTC
- Politics
- Original: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/6/why-flavio-bolsonaro-outperformed-the-polls-in-brazils-election?traffic_source=rss

> Experts say a late shift by right-wing voters, the Banco Master banking scandal and economic frustration may explain Flavio Bolsonaro’s unexpected first-round lead in Brazil’s presidential election. He won about 47 percent to Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s 45 percent, surprising analysts and prompting questions about what polls missed.

## Stories

- [Brazil Presidential Election and Political Contest](https://mins.news/en/topic/brazil-presidential-election) — Markdown: https://mins.news/en/topic/brazil-presidential-election.md

## Related coverage

- [Brazil presidential election: ‘Bolsonaro being ahead is a surprise,’ researcher says](https://mins.news/en/video/86464) — France 24 English, 2026-10-05
- [Brazil presidential election: ‘Bolsonaro being ahead is a surprise,’ researcher says](https://mins.news/en/item/86446) — France 24, 2026-10-05
- [Bolsonaro wins first round of Brazilian presidential election as Trump-backed candidates extend red wave](https://mins.news/en/item/85761) — Fox News, 2026-10-05
