# Far right on the march and Lula’s failures: key drivers of Flávio Bolsonaro’s Brazil surge

https://mins.news/en/item/86886

- The Guardian, 2026-10-05 18:42 UTC
- Politics
- Original: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/05/brazil-election-bolsonaro-lula

> Analysts attribute Flávio Bolsonaro’s shock first-round victory to the deep roots of Bolsonarismo, the expanding influence of evangelical churches, voter fears over crime and Lula’s perceived age. They also say Lula’s focus on sovereignty and critical minerals, rather than everyday concerns such as food costs, debt and insecurity, may have weakened his campaign.

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