# Independent analysts estimate United Russia won only 34–35% without manipulation

https://mins.news/en/item/71155

- Meduza, 2026-09-23 18:52 UTC
- Politics
- Original: https://meduza.io/en/feature/2026/09/23/russian-state-officials-say-ruling-party-united-russia-won-58-in-last-weekend-s-parliamentary-election-independent-analysts-estimate-it-was-really-34-35-without-manipulation

> Russian officials say United Russia won 58% in last weekend’s parliamentary election. Independent analyses using Sergey Shpilkin’s methodology estimate the ruling party’s party-list share may have been just 34–35% without manipulation, while Important Stories says roughly 18 million of the 30 million paper-ballot votes recorded for it may have been fabricated.

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